That being said, however, an analysis of current trends cannot help but lead one to assume that it is unlikely that there will be any American nuclear weapons based on European soil ten years hence. That decision cannot be seen in advance as either good or bad; it is just likely. It is time to start thinking about the Alliance’s preferred alternatives.
Jeffrey A. Larsen, “Future Options for NATO Nuclear Policy, August 30. Larsen is president of Larsen Consulting Group and an adjunct professor at Denver, Northwestern, and Texas A&M universities. He is also a retired Air Force command pilot and the first director of the Air Force Institute for National Security Studies. He has written extensively on tactical nuclear weapons.
For more information on NATO’s dilemma as it pertains to the future of dual capable aircraft, check out the following useful sources, including a piece by yours truly:
Parting words: Gates and tactical nuclear weapons in Europe (Link)
NATO, Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control (Link)
Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Germany: Time for Withdrawal? (Link)