Research Analyst Shawn Rostker spoke with FactCheck.org about Iran’s “breakout” time for a nuclear weapon.
“There’s broad consensus among experts that Iran’s breakout time — defined as the time needed to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for one bomb — is currently at roughly one week or less given its stockpile of highly enriched uranium and advanced centrifuge capacity,” Shawn Rostker, research analyst at the nonpartisan Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, told us in an email, noting that there’s uncertainty now about what impact Israel’s attacks have had on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
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Rostker, also drawing from IAEA and other non-proliferation assessments, said that converting the uranium into a “deliverable nuclear device” was “complex” and “could take several months to over a year or longer, depending on Iran’s capabilities, decisions, and whether it chooses to test.”
