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You are here: Home / Press Room / Center in the News / Trump’s “Iron Dome”: The Math Isn’t Good

February 14, 2025

Trump’s “Iron Dome”: The Math Isn’t Good

Senior Policy Director John Erath spoke with Mother Jones on the problems and costs associate with an “Iron Dome” defense system protecting the United States.

Todd Harrison of the American Enterprise Institute put the likely cost at somewhere between $11 and $27 billion for such a system—and pointed out that despite all that money, the system would only be able to intercept up to two rockets at a time. (For context, two is a small number. The Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation estimates that China has over 100 ICBMS, Russia has over 300, and the US has over 400.) 

“You need something like three interceptors to have a pretty good chance of taking down one incoming ICBM,” said John Erath, CACNP’s Policy Director. “So the numbers add up quickly, and the math isn’t good.” 

While technology has improved since Reagan dreamed of space lasers, Erath said, “that does not necessarily make it easy.” 

“You might say that protecting an American city from a nuclear attack is worth billions. That may be correct, but this is the kind of thing that needs to be discussed in Congress before it’s approved,” he added. “If you could even get to where a system like this could be made to work, the costs would be literally astronomical. That needs to be made clear to the taxpayers, who would be ultimately paying the bills.” Read more

Posted in: Center in the News, John Erath, Missile Defense, Press & In the News on Missile Defense, Press Room, United States

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