Yesterday I published an analysis on the current status of Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Below are what I consider to be the six key takeaways:
1. Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs remain shrouded in secrecy and the country has committed numerous violations of its International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards obligations.
2. Iran does not currently possess a nuclear weapon of any kind.
3. There is no evidence that Iran has made the political decision to develop a nuclear weapon.
4. In the event that Iran makes the political decision to develop a nuclear weapon, the weight of the evidence suggests that Iran will not possess a nuclear-armed ballistic missile capable of threatening all of Europe and/or the United States for many years to come.
5. All these estimates are exactly that – estimates